Markets can provide investors with countless opportunities to get distracted. Headlines can excite or alarm us, short‑term performance can tempt us into overconfidence or fear, and extended periods of success often create one of the biggest risks of all: complacency.  

After three consecutive years of strong global stock market returns (22.81%, 18.02%, and 22.87% for the MSCI All Country World Index from 2023-2025), you can see how this can happen.  A lack of long-term historical perspective regarding the range of possible market outcomes can lead to poor decision making and unwanted consequences. 

During times like these, investors can benefit from taking a page out of the playbooks of Hall of Fame football coach Nick Saban and legendary Intel CEO Andy Grove. 

Nick Saban: Avoiding the “Rat Poison” of Market Noise

Seven-time national champion coach Nick Saban’s famous “Rat Poison” rant wasn’t about football.  It was about psychology.  When teams start believing the praise around them, like Saban’s reference to ESPN commentators and his Alabama football team, their focus and discipline can erode. 

The same can apply to investors:

  • sensational headlines (like gold of late),
  • hot stock stories (like the Magnificent 7),
  • short-term performance chasing and fear of missing out, or
  • the urge to “do something” simply because markets move.

Saban’s principle is simple: Stay centered on the process, not the noise or the outcome.

For us, that means staying committed to a well‑designed plan rooted in financial science, especially when markets tempt you to drift. 

Andy Grove: Practicing “Healthy Paranoia”

At Intel, Andy Grove built a culture around one idea: “Success breeds complacency. Complacency breeds failure.”

However, his version of “healthy paranoia” wasn’t fear.  It was about being prepared.   

If we apply Grove’s thinking to investing, his mindset encourages us to:

  • respect market uncertainty,
  • anticipate volatility and don’t be surprised by it,
  • regularly reassess assumptions, and
  • control what we can control.

Grove reminds us that long‑term investing isn’t about predicting the future but preparing for it.

Discipline in Action: Evidence‑Based Investing

The Evidence-Based Investing approach that we recommend echoes both Saban’s discipline and Grove’s vigilance:

  • Discipline (Saban): Stay focused on what works, not on the noise.
    Ignore the hype – bullish or bearish.
  • Vigilance (Grove): Recognize that change, volatility, and uncertainty are constant. Prepare rather than predict.
  • Evidence: Use research, not emotion, as the foundation for decisions.
    Let data and process guide the path.

This philosophy is designed to help investors avoid two of the most common and destructive behavioral traps: fear when markets fall and overconfidence when markets rise.

Combining discipline, vigilance, and evidence can help you navigate uncertainty and reduce mistakes so you can remain focused on pursuing your desired ideal future.

This is intended for informational purposes only. You should not assume that any discussion or information contained in this document serves as the receipt of, or as a substitute for, personalized investment advice from Savant. Please consult your investment professional regarding your unique situation.

Author Jack Phelps Managing Partner / Financial Advisor

Jack has been involved in the financial services industry since 1989. He is the author of "The Relaxing Retirement Formula: For the Confidence to Liberate What You’ve Saved and Start Living the Life You’ve Earned."

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